by David A. Burton
3 August, 2016 (revised 18 Sept. 2016 & 26 Nov. 2018)
1. Single-sheet, two-sided printable
2. Web-format, with hyperlinks
†Note: The only types of voter fraud examined in this analysis are cases of ballots being cast on behalf of the same person in two different States, in the same election: either through impersonation, or by the same person voting more than once.
25 million elections were simulated, to determine the likelihood of
varying numbers of coincidental name+DOB+Last4SSN matches. Here is the
source code, usage instructions, sample output, and discussion:
In 2011, Joseph R. Barr, Stephen Coggeshall and Wenzhong Zhao of
ID Analytics, Inc. produced a
entitled, The Trouble With Names, in which they calcuated that as many
as 8.3% of Americans might coincidentally match other Americans with the same
name and date of birth. But there are problems, both with their analysis, and
with its application to voter identification:
1. 11 July, 2016 Email from Dave Burton, about problems with The Trouble With Names, by Barr, Cogggeshall & Zhao
W: +1 919-481-0149
M: +1 919-244-3316
109 Black Bear Ct, Cary, NC 27513-4941 USA
Here's a blog comment based on this analysis:
Copyright © 2016, 2018, David A. Burton. Last modified: 16-Nov-18 (version 6).
Note: the “last modified” date and version number on this web page are maintained automatically by TLIB Version Control.