The Rahmstorf Method
The so-called "Rahmstorf Method" for predicting accelerated sea level rise has been thoroughly
demolished by a number of other scientists, and by the progression of time. Here are some
- A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise, by Stefan Rahmstorf (2007) [full text], and
Global Sea Level Linked to Global Temperature, by Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009)
- Tom Moriarty has done careful, in-depth demolitions of Rahmstorf 2007 (here),
and Vermeer & Rahmstorf 2009 (here).
- Where does their figure come from? by Prof. Lucia Liljegren
- Source of fishy odor confirmed: Rahmstorf did change smoothing, by Lucia Liljegren
- The Secret of the Rahmstorf "Non-Linear Trend Line," by Steve McIntyre
- A look back at "A Semi-Empirical Approach to Sea-Level Rise," by Tom Moiarty
- Off The Beaten Path, Part Two: A Scientific Critique of the 2010 NC Sea-Level Rise Assessment Report, by John Droz, Jr.
(skip down to "#12" which begins on p.11)
- Der Spiegel
on Rahmstorf: "Scandal Surrounds German Government Climate Advisor" (also here)
- Rahmstorf is closely connected to Munich Re, the giant German reinsurance company, which has a pecuniary interest in promoting climate alarmism, to justify higher reinsurance rates
- Rahmstorf: is it okay to call him an alarmist, now? by Tom Moriarty.
- Rahmstorf v. Rahmstorf, by Tom Moriarty
- and analysis by David Stockwell
- and additional analysis by Steve McIntyre
- and additional analysis by Lucia Liljegren
- and additional analysis by Tom Moriarty
- and Tom Moriarty's library of data for testing robustness of Rahmstorf models
- ...and more (etc.)
"In hindsight, the averaging period of 11 years that we used in the 2007 Science paper was too short
to determine a robust climate trend..."
[Stefan Rahmstorf's 2009 mea culpa, on the RealClimate blog site]
"It turns out that Rahmstorf has pulled an elaborate practical joke on the Community..."